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Is Iran a Political Problem for Trump? Tell Me How Long the War Lasts.

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28 March 2026 at 19:05
By: Nate Cohn
Historically, quagmire abroad and high prices at home are the ingredients of a failed presidency.

President Trump, with Vice President JD Vance and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, at Dover Air Force Base after six Army service members were killed in Kuwait.

The Debate Hurt Biden, but the Real Shift Has Been Happening for Years

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3 July 2024 at 20:01
By: Nate Cohn
A 3-point move toward Trump in a new Times/Siena poll is not a fundamental change in the race, but it adds to longstanding concerns.

President Biden on Tuesday in Washington.

Introducing Our 2024 Poll Tracker

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25 June 2024 at 09:04
By: Nate Cohn
It starts by showing a very close race nationally and in critical battleground states.

The Lost DeSantis Moment

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22 January 2024 at 10:03
By: Nate Cohn
For months, he routinely led Donald Trump in head-to-head polls and gave a possible glimpse at a post-Trump Republican future.

Ron DeSantis after winning re-election as Florida governor in 2022.

Last Exit Before Trump: New Hampshire

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22 January 2024 at 10:03
By: Nate Cohn
Tuesday’s primary election will probably decide whether there will be a race at all.

Newport, N.H., last week.

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