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The Debate Hurt Biden, but the Real Shift Has Been Happening for Years

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3 July 2024 at 20:01
By: Nate Cohn
A 3-point move toward Trump in a new Times/Siena poll is not a fundamental change in the race, but it adds to longstanding concerns.

President Biden on Tuesday in Washington.

Introducing Our 2024 Poll Tracker

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25 June 2024 at 09:04
By: Nate Cohn
It starts by showing a very close race nationally and in critical battleground states.

The Lost DeSantis Moment

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22 January 2024 at 10:03
By: Nate Cohn
For months, he routinely led Donald Trump in head-to-head polls and gave a possible glimpse at a post-Trump Republican future.

Ron DeSantis after winning re-election as Florida governor in 2022.

Last Exit Before Trump: New Hampshire

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22 January 2024 at 10:03
By: Nate Cohn
Tuesday’s primary election will probably decide whether there will be a race at all.

Newport, N.H., last week.

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